(Zero Hedge)—President Trump signaled on Sunday that Operation Epic Fury could extend for four weeks, shifting our focus beyond the likely decline of certain air-delivered munition stockpiles to the question of whether a prolonged conflict begins tightening small-arms ammunition supplies and spilling over into civilian markets.
“It’s always been a four-week process. We figured it would be four weeks or so. It’s always been about a four-week process so – as strong as it is, it’s a big country, it’ll take four weeks – or less,” Daily Mail newspaper quoted Trump as saying.
War risk fears and the massive scale of Operation Epic Fury are set to drain critical missile stockpiles used by the THAAD, Patriot, and SM-3 systems. As we noted earlier on Sunday, this suggests the U.S. military may have to draw down on critical missile and bomb stockpiles.
Beyond missiles and bombs, the possibility of a four-week conflict may spark governments into a buying frenzy of small-arms ammunition, rebuilding stockpiles, and funding allies, thereby tightening the consumer market. Then there is retail: whenever there is a risk of war, riots, or Democrats trying to take away their guns, some consumers always go into a buying panic of ammo and guns.
At the start of the Russia-Ukraine war in early 2022, demand for 5.56×45mm NATO ammunition, commonly used in the AR-15 and M4/M16 platforms, surged, briefly pushing prices higher in the early days of the conflict. Prices then trended lower despite the war due to expanded manufacturing capacity and shrinking demand from retail post-Covid boom.
With 5.56 ammo prices now hovering around .40 cents per round after roughly 18 months of supply-demand rebalancing, the key question is whether conflict in the Middle East will drive military demand higher and tighten the end market.
5.56 Ammo Price Index via BlackBasin (online ammo price aggregator):
.40 cents per round certaintly seems like a floor.
For Emergency Preparedness, Don’t Forget the Meds
Being prepared is more than just a good idea—it’s essential. We stock up on non-perishable food, bottled water, flashlights, and first-aid supplies, but one critical aspect often gets overlooked: access to vital medications. What happens if pharmacies close, prescriptions can’t be filled, or you’re cut off from medical care during an emergency?
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Don’t just take our word for it—thousands of satisfied customers have given Jase Medical a 4.9-star rating, praising its role in true preparedness. As radio host Glenn Beck warns, “The supply lines for antibiotics already are stressed to the max. Please have some antibiotics on hand… You can do it through Jase.”
Whether you’re prepping for a hurricane, a power outage, or simply the uncertainties of daily life, Jase Medical ensures you’re not caught off guard. Head to patriot.tv/meds today to customize and order your emergency kit—because when it comes to your health and safety, it’s better to be prepared than sorry.