Editor’s Note: It’s more prudent to invest in a Bernie Madoff scheme than to believe anything Iranian leadership says. They are demonstrably bald-faced liars and their Quran demands that they lie to infidels to achieve their goals. That’s why this “threat” of a secret weapon should be taken with a grain of salt. Nevertheless, it’s newsworthy so we’re reporting on it…
(End of the American Dream)—The Iranians don’t seem to have gotten the memo. President Trump may have decided that it is time to sit down and make a deal, but the Iranians continue to launch missiles at Israeli cities and are threatening to use a new secret weapon. They are not telling us what this new secret weapon is, but Iranian Major General Ali Abdollahi Aliabadi is claiming that it is so powerful that it “will bring an end to the enemy’s operations”…
Iranian Major General Abdollahi said: ‘The use of a new, secret weapon will begin soon and it will bring an end to the enemy’s operations.’
The taunts came just minutes after Trump claimed the two countries had held ‘productive conversations regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities.’
What kind of weapon could he be talking about?
If it is “secret”, that would seem to imply that it is something that we have never seen the Iranians use before.
And apparently this Iranian general is convinced that it is so powerful that it will win the war for Iran.
Is he telling the truth?
Is he bluffing?
Only time will tell.
What we do know is that the Iranians launched a whole bunch of missiles at Israel after they warned that they had “special events” planned that were intended to “completely remove the hope of negotiations from the minds of the aggressors”…
Iran has launched missiles at Israel after it ominously warned Donald Trump that it has ‘special plans’ for him and the US’s allies in the Gulf, following the American president’s threat to attack the nation’s power plants.
A source told the state-run Fars News Agency: ‘Tonight, special events are planned for Tel Aviv and some regional allies of the US and Israel that will completely remove the hope of negotiations from the minds of the aggressors.’
Iran appears to have made good on the threat, firing missiles at Eilat area in southern Israel, as well as the cities of Dimona and Yeruham. Residents in the Jerusalem area tonight reported hearing loud explosions.
Whoever is currently in charge in Iran doesn’t want to talk.
That much should be very clear to everyone.
The Iranians are insisting that the U.S. and Israel must agree to all of their demands, and they are telling us that even after the war ends “the situation in the Strait of Hormuz will not return to the pre-war situation”…
In a message posted on Telegram by Fars News Agency, sources appeared to reject Donald Trump’s claims of ‘major points of agreement’ between the US and Iran.
The message reads: ‘Informed officials in Iran announced that there were no negotiations and emphasized that until the US completely withdrew, evacuated its bases in the region, paid compensation, and received valid guarantees not to repeat the aggression, neither would the war end nor would the Strait of Hormuz be reopened.
‘According to this report, even after the possible end of the war, the situation in the Strait of Hormuz will not return to the pre-war situation.’
The U.S. and Israel will never agree to these demands.
And so the fighting will continue, and there will inevitably be a lot more surprises.
Of course there have already been quite a few surprises during this war.
Experts all over the world were certainly shocked when Iran showed that it could fire missiles at targets more than 4,000 kilometers away…
Before the war, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned that Iran could potentially strike targets in Europe. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said last month that Iran had deliberately limited its missile range to 2,000 kilometers.
A range of 4,000 kilometers would expand the potential reach of Iranian missiles significantly, placing parts of Western Europe, including Germany, Finland and Austria, within range. It could also put parts of North and East Africa, including Kenya and Ethiopia, as well as countries in South Asia such as Bangladesh and India, and even parts of China, within reach.
The Iranians were lying to us about the maximum range of their missiles.
And I am convinced that they were lying to us about a lot of other things as well.
If the Iranians choose to use unconventional weapons, the U.S. and Israel will feel absolutely compelled to completely eliminate the regime in Iran.
So let us hope that things don’t escalate that far.
We are also being warned that Iran could choose to target Americans outside of the Middle East…
The US Department of State issued a worldwide security alert Sunday, urging Americans across the globe to be wary of threats from Iran-linked groups.
“The Department of State advises Americans worldwide, and especially in the Middle East, to exercise increased caution. Americans abroad should follow the guidance in security alerts issued by the nearest U.S. embassy or consulate,” the State Department said in a statement.
I am particularly concerned about the potential for attacks on U.S. soil.
It would be so easy for Iranian agents to unleash biological agents in heavily populated areas.
Yes, this is a very real possibility.
U.S. officials have been admitting that Iran has an offensive biological weapons program since 1996…
The U.S. government has long assessed that Iran enjoys BW-producing capabilities at the very least, and is or may be operating a BW program itself.
For example, in 1996, the CIA concluded that “Iran holds some stocks of biological agents and weapons. Tehran probably has investigated both toxins and live organisms as biological warfare agents. Iran has the technical infrastructure to support a significant biological weapons program with little foreign assistance.”
In 2000, DCI Nonproliferation Center Director John Lauder testified to Congress that “Iran is pursuing both civilian biotech activities and a biological warfare (BW) program,” that its BW program was then “in the late stages of research and development,” and that Iran “already holds some stocks of BW agents and weapons.”
In 2003 and 2005 reports, the State Department stated that, “Iran has an offensive biological weapons program in violation of the BWC. Iran is technically capable of producing at least rudimentary biological warheads for a variety of delivery systems, including missiles.” In 2011, then–Director of National Intelligence James Clapper stated that “Iran probably has the capability to produce some biological warfare (BW) agents for offensive purposes, if it made the decision to do so. We assess that Iran has previously conducted offensive BW agent research and development. Iran continues to seek dual-use technologies that could be used for BW.”
So don’t believe the talking heads that continue to insist that Iran does not pose this kind of a threat.
Those talking heads literally do not know what they are talking about.
If some sort of a major national emergency does break out, the federal government has put together a list of 14 things that you should have on hand…
Water (one gallon per person per day for several days, for drinking and sanitation)
Food (at least a several-day supply of non-perishable food)
Battery-powered or hand crank radio and a NOAA Weather Radio with tone alert
Flashlight
First aid kit
Extra batteries
Whistle (to signal for help)
Dust mask (to help filter contaminated air)
Plastic sheeting, scissors and duct tape (to shelter in place)
Moist towelettes, garbage bags and plastic ties (for personal sanitation)
Wrench or pliers (to turn off utilities)
Manual can opener (for food)
Local maps
Cell phone with chargers and a backup battery
The items on that list won’t get you very far, but at least they are better than having nothing.
If we end up facing a scenario in which some sort of highly contagious pestilence with a very high death rate has been released, you will want to be prepared to stay home for as long as it takes.
There are some bioweapons that have been designed to have a death rate of well over 50 percent.
That is something that you do not want to mess with.
For now, let’s just hope that cooler heads prevail and that the conflict in the Middle East rapidly comes to a conclusion.
If that doesn’t happen, it is inevitable that there will be more escalations, and we could end up seeing weapons get used that should never be used under any circumstances.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.