The murder of Nicholas Quets, a 31-year-old former U.S. Marine from Tucson, Arizona, stands as a grim testament to the chaos that flourished under the Biden administration’s border policies. Quets, who had served his country honorably and was in the process of applying to become a U.S. Border Patrol agent, was gunned down on October 18, 2024, while traveling on a highway in northern Mexico. His father, Warren Quets, has openly blamed the previous administration’s approach for emboldening criminal cartels like the Sinaloa group responsible for his son’s death.
Warren described the horrifying details of the attack, where Nicholas encountered a cartel roadblock manned by about 25 heavily armed individuals in 11 vehicles. Identified as an American by his license plate and language, he was pursued and killed in a failed carjacking attempt.
“They chased him down like a dog and shot him, like the cowards they were,” Warren said.
According to Warren, the Biden era’s “failed border policies” created an environment where cartels thrived, viewing the U.S. as vulnerable. He pointed to what he called an “invitation” for mass crossings, exploited by coyotes and cartel members over four years.
“If they made it to the U.S. border, it would be a catch-and-release policy,” he explained.
This system, Warren argued, not only allowed unchecked migration but also enriched certain non-governmental organizations, local agencies, churches, and other groups through donations and federal funding linked to processing migrants. In January 2025, shelters in Pima County, Arizona—where Nicholas had volunteered—shut down, alongside facilities in Texas, California, and New York, signaling the end of a profitable but dangerous cycle.
Warren’s critique extends to Mexico itself, which he labels a “de facto failed state” riddled with cartel influence and eroded public trust in government. He stressed the necessity of unrelenting pressure on these criminal networks and a cultural shift south of the border to curb the violence spilling over and claiming American lives.
Yet amid the grief, Warren sees a turning point under President Trump, whose administration has prioritized cracking down on organized crime. Actions tied to Nicholas’s case include sanctions against the children of notorious Sinaloa leader “El Chapo” and their fentanyl-trafficking faction, Los Chapitos, as well as the Immigration and Customs Enforcement arrest of cartel affiliate Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. In February 2025, the Trump administration designated groups like the Sinaloa Cartel as foreign terrorist organizations, paving the way for more aggressive measures.
Recent developments underscore Trump’s commitment to restoring security. In early August 2025, reports emerged that the president had authorized military operations against Latin American drug cartels, including potential strikes on their operations. The U.S. military announced the deployment of over 4,000 additional troops to waters near the Caribbean and Latin America to support anti-cartel missions. Under pressure from these efforts, Mexico extradited 26 accused cartel members wanted by U.S. authorities in a deal struck just days ago.
The impact at the border is undeniable. U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks reported a record low of 4,399 apprehensions at the southwest border in July 2025, with zero releases for the third straight month—a sharp contrast to the peak of 249,785 apprehensions in December 2023 under Biden, when most encounters resulted in releases into the U.S. This dramatic turnaround averages out to just 141 apprehensions per day, highlighting how decisive leadership can seal vulnerabilities that cartels once exploited.
Warren credits Trump directly for these changes and for sending a clear deterrent message worldwide. “There is a message that targeting U.S. citizens any place in the world is no longer acceptable and comes with consequences. President Trump, you know, he’s directly responsible for sending that message, and that message is working,” he stated.
On a personal note, Warren expressed deep appreciation for Trump’s support. “[Trump has] been great to my family. He’s kept in touch with us. His administration kept in touch with us. He’s treated us like his family. And I think he would do that for anybody in this situation. I don’t think it’s particular to me. So, I’m grateful for that. You know, Nick will not die in vain because Nick is now the reason for many of these changes.”
The Quets family’s story is a call to action for conservatives who have long warned about the perils of weak borders. As Trump continues to dismantle the cartels’ grip, Americans can finally see a path toward true safety and justice—one that honors sacrifices like Nicholas’s and prevents future tragedies.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.