Editor’s Note: For whatever reason, any time we report on Israel and Iran we invariably get accused of, well… something. The most recent bout of accusations is that somehow we’re “NeoCons” because we reported that Benjamin Netanyahu claimed Iran wants to assassinate President Donald Trump. It’s news. He said it. Reporting that he said it is not an endorsement. Those who feel like it shouldn’t be reported should tune into CNN so they won’t get their feelings hurt.
I’m sure the article below by Michael Snyder will draw similar criticism because it describes scenarios that could drag the U.S. into war. So, before the unhinged in my audience go ballistic, let’s state up front that we are vehemently opposed to ANY U.S. involvement in the Middle East or any war. It’s their war. Let them fight it. We’re simply reporting on what’s happening, as we’ve always done. Those who must exist in a delicate ideological bubble can cook their brains all they want but there’s nothing “NeoCon” about reporting on the possible scenarios. Thankfully, the vast majority in our audience can think for themselves and do not need to be shielded from analyses like this. Here’s Snyder…
(End of the American Dream)—Are other nations going to get involved in the war between Iran and Israel? Will we soon see the U.S. military get directly involved in attacking Iran? Those are very important questions that all of us should be considering right now. As I discussed on Friday, we really have reached one of the most critical points in our period of human history. If additional countries are drawn into the conflict, we really could be facing a World War III scenario. And if someone actually decides to use a weapon of mass destruction, things will get really crazy.
Fortunately, only conventional weapons have been used so far. It appears that the IDF has achieved air superiority in Iranian airspace, and more than 170 targets have been hit in just three days…
Israel says roughly 50 of its fighter jets carried out dozens of strikes inside Iran overnight targeting the country’s nuclear development capabilities and its military and energy infrastructure.
The IDF says it has struck over 170 targets and more than 720 “military infrastructure components” in just three days of fighting as part of its “Operation Rising Lion.”
“Throughout the night, Israeli Air Force fighter jets flew over Tehran and struck infrastructure and targets of the Iranian nuclear project, under the guidance of the Intelligence Directorate,” the IDF said.
The Iranians are reeling, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is promising the Iranians that “what they have felt so far is nothing compared with what they will be handed in the coming days”…
Netanyahu said Israel’s strikes had set back Iran’s nuclear programme possibly by years and rejected international calls for restraint.
“We will hit every site and every target of the Ayatollahs’ regime, and what they have felt so far is nothing compared with what they will be handed in the coming days,” he said in a video message.
Of course the Iranians have been hitting Israel pretty hard too…
Children are among the at least 13 people who have died in Israel following Iran’s barrage of missiles it sent in the latest round of escalating strikes between the two nations.
Iran said Israel struck two oil refineries near Tehran overnight, as well as the headquarters of Iran’s Ministry of Defence, while Israel said that the death toll had risen to 10, as emergency workers frantically sift through rubble to try and find injured people.
An estimated 200 people in Israel were injured by the strikes. Israeli Raja Khateeb, his wife, and their three daughters were all reportedly among those killed in the Iranian strike on the town of town of Tamra, near Haifa.
By now, I am sure that most of you have seen footage of the residential building in Tel Aviv that was destroyed by an Iranian missile.
According to the Jerusalem Post, Israeli leaders have been told that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei “personally ordered attacks against Israeli civilian population centers”…
Israeli ministers were informed on Sunday that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei personally ordered attacks against Israeli civilian population centers, sources informed The Jerusalem Post on Sunday.
Israel conveyed a message in the last 24 hours to Iran that it would strike strategic infrastructure across the country if the Islamic Republic targets civilian population centers in Israel, sources with knowledge told the Post on Saturday.
Apparently there was a plan to assassinate Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, but President Trump reportedly “vetoed” it…
President Donald Trump recently vetoed an Israeli plan to assassinate Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, a U.S. official told Fox News on Sunday.
Details of the assassination attempt and when Trump vetoed it have yet to be confirmed.
“Have the Iranians killed an American yet? No. Until they do we’re not even talking about going after the political leadership,” said one source, a senior U.S. administration official who spoke to Reuters.
Does this mean that the Israelis are operating within specific parameters set by the Trump administration?
If so, that is very, very interesting.
Speaking of Trump, he just told Rachel Scott of ABC News that the U.S. is “not involved” in the conflict, but he also warned that “we could get involved”…
In an interview with ABC News’ Rachel Scott, Trump declined to comment on whether Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made a personal plea for the U.S. to get more involved.
“We’re not involved in it. It’s possible we could get involved. But we are not at this moment involved,” the president said.
Wow.
Needless to say, that interview instantly made headlines all over the globe.
So what are some potential trigger events that could cause the U.S. to get directly involved in attacking Iran?
First of all, if U.S. bases in the region get attacked the U.S. will most definitely respond.
And the Iranians have specifically warned the U.S. that such attacks may be coming if they don’t stop intercepting Iranian missiles…
Iran has formally cautioned the United States, United Kingdom and France that if they interfere with its retaliatory missile and drone strikes against Israel, their forces stationed in the region will be considered legitimate targets.
This announcement was transmitted through state-controlled Iranian media on Saturday and follows intensified hostilities between Israel and Iran following attacks linked to Iran’s nuclear dispute with Israel.
Western countries are now caught in a precarious position. US President Donald Trump has pledged support for Israel’s defence, and American defence officials have acknowledged the role of US forces in countering airborne threats directed toward Israeli territory.
Would the Iranians really be that stupid?
They can’t handle what Israel is throwing at them, and so adding the U.S. to the mix would seem to be a really foolish thing to do.
President Trump is holding back the U.S. military for now, but he has told the Iranians exactly what will happen if U.S. bases start getting hit…
The U.S. had nothing to do with the attack on Iran, tonight. If we are attacked in any way, shape or form by Iran, the full strength and might of the U.S. Armed Forces will come down on you at levels never seen before. However, we can easily get a deal done between Iran and Israel, and end this bloody conflict!!!
Secondly, the U.S. could potentially get drawn into attacking Iran if other Islamic nations enter the conflict on Iran’s side.
That seems unlikely at this stage, but one Iranian official is calling for Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan to form a giant “Islamic army” to confront Israel…
Thirdly, if the Iranians were to use a weapon of mass destruction that would most certainly provoke a U.S. response.
Hopefully that does not happen.
But one Iranian official has ominously declared that “we haven’t yet revealed our unknown weapons”…
What did he mean by that?
I can’t think of any conventional weapons that Iran may have that would “disrupt the entire region”. Let’s hope that he was either bluffing or exaggerating.
Before I end this article, there is one more possibility that I wanted to mention. As I discussed earlier today, Iranian leaders are thinking about shutting down the Strait of Hormuz.
If the Iranians choose to block the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump will do whatever is necessary to open it back up. So that is a potential trigger event which could cause the U.S. to start directly attacking Iran as well.
We have reached such a dangerous time in human history. Israel and Iran both consider this to be an existential conflict. Israel cannot afford to lose this war, and neither can Iran.
Once one side feels backed into a corner, they will unleash everything that they have got, and that could have very serious implications for the entire Middle East.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.