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Tariffs

World Bank Slashes Growth Forecast on Trump’s Tariffs

by Brett Rowland, The Center Square
June 11, 2025

(The Center Square)–Due to U.S. trade policies, another global financial institution forecasted slower economic growth on Tuesday. 

The World Bank cut its annual economic growth forecast, saying President Donald Trump’s tariffs posed a “significant headwind” for nearly all economies.

The bank slashed its forecast for 2025 by 0.4 percentage point to 2.3%.

“The sharp increase in tariffs and the ensuing uncertainty are contributing to a broad-based growth slowdown and deteriorating prospects in most of the world’s economies,” bank officials wrote in the twice-yearly Global Economic Prospects report. 

The Washington, D.C.-based development bank expects the U.S. economy to grow 1.4% in 2025, down from a 2.8% increase in 2024. In its January report, the World Bank forecasted a 2.3% increase in U.S. gross domestic product. Gross domestic product measures a nation’s total economic activity – a monetary estimation of the entire market value of all the final goods and services produced. Changes in GDP are a favored indicator of a nation’s overall financial health.

The World Bank’s outlook was depressed. 

“Subdued global growth prospects are unlikely to improve materially without policy actions to address increasing trade restrictions, geopolitical tensions, heightened uncertainty, and limited fiscal space,” according to the report. 

The bank stopped short of predicting a recession.



“Global output is expected to grow at its weakest pace since 2008, aside from outright global recessions,” according to the report. 

Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on nearly all U.S. trading partners on April 2, which he dubbed “Liberation Day” for American trade. Seven days later, Trump suspended those higher rates for 90 days to give his trade team time to cut deals. Since then, the president has announced a limited trade deal with the United Kingdom and a tariff truce with China while talks continue.

Those “Liberation Day” tariffs face legal challenges from states and small businesses. A three-judge panel on the U.S. Court of International Trade unanimously ruled last week that Congress did not give the president tariff authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. The court gave Trump 10 days to unwind all the tariffs he issued under IEEPA. The administration appealed that decision and asked for an emergency stay. The appeals court granted that request, putting the Court of International Trade ruling on hold while the appeal continues.

The World Bank said the U.S. tariffs have sparked “unusually elevated uncertainty” for governments, businesses and consumers.

“This baseline nonetheless entails the highest U.S. average effective tariff rate in nearly a century,” according to the report. “In addition, in view of recent rapid shifts in trade policies and the potential for a return to even higher tariffs, consumers and businesses continue to grapple with unusually elevated uncertainty.”

The bank also noted the economic conditions could boost inflation and hit pocketbooks worldwide.

“Renewed increases in trade restrictions could push inflation higher in key economies, magnifying real income losses and limiting the scope for major central banks to support flagging growth by lowering policy rates,” the bank reported.

The World Bank’s forecast was similar to projections from the International Monetary Fund. In April, IMF projected global growth will reach 2.8% this year and 3% next year, a cumulative downgrade of about 0.8 percentage points relative to the IMF’s January update.

“Beyond the abrupt increase in tariffs, the surge in policy uncertainty is a major driver of the economic outlook,” Pierre‑Olivier Gourinchas, IMF’s chief economist, said at the time. “If sustained, the increasing trade tensions and uncertainty will slow global growth significantly.”

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a similar assessment this spring.

“The level of the tariff increases announced so far is significantly larger than anticipated,” Powell said in prepared remarks at the Economic Club of Chicago in April. “The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.”

Economists, businesses and some publicly traded companies have warned that tariffs could raise prices on a wide range of consumer products.

Advisor Bullion Numismatics

Trump has said he wants to use tariffs to restore manufacturing jobs lost to lower-wage countries in decades past, shift the tax burden away from U.S. families, and pay down the national debt.

A tariff is a tax on imported goods paid by the person or company that imports the goods. The importer can absorb the cost of the tariffs or try to pass the cost on to consumers through higher prices.

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Precious metals continue to attract Americans seeking reliable ways to protect their wealth amid inflation, geopolitical risks, and stock market swings. Whether stored in a home safe or held inside a self-directed IRA, physical gold and silver deliver tangible value that paper or digital assets often lack. Yet investors must choose carefully between bullion—pure bars and coins valued mainly for their metal content—and numismatics or collectibles, where rarity, history, and collector demand heavily influence pricing.

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Numismatic coins and collectibles add substantial value from factors such as age, rarity, minting errors, or historical significance. A pre-1933 U.S. gold coin or graded proof piece can carry premiums of 30%, 50%, or even 200% above melt value. While this appeals to hobbyists, it creates complexity. Pricing depends on subjective grading, collector trends, and auction results instead of daily spot prices.

For investors focused on wealth preservation and retirement security rather than building a collection, bullion often delivers better results.

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  • Bullion prices remain transparent and update with global spot markets. You can track gold near current levels or silver accordingly and know exactly where your holdings stand. Numismatic values are priced by the Gold IRA companies with hefty margins applied.
  • Standardized coins and bars store efficiently and divide easily for partial sales. Rare coins often need protective slabs and controlled conditions, adding hassle and expense.
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Stronger Fit for Precious Metals IRAs

Precious metals IRAs continue gaining traction as investors diversify retirement portfolios beyond stocks and bonds. IRS rules permit certain bullion products in self-directed IRAs if they meet purity standards (.995 fine for gold, .999 for silver) and are held by an approved custodian. Eligible items include American Gold and Silver Eagles plus many generic bars and rounds from recognized mints.

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Regulatory guidance from the CFTC and state securities offices repeatedly cautions against aggressive sales of expensive numismatics or “semi-numismatic” coins for IRAs. For retirement planning, transparent bullion from established providers reduces risk and aligns better with long-term goals.

How to Get Started with Bullion

Begin by clarifying your goals. Are you protecting savings in a safe, or moving part of a retirement account into a precious metals IRA? Focus on the number of ounces you can acquire at current prices rather than chasing marked-up collectibles.

Diversify sensibly: use gold for core preservation and silver for its blend of industrial and monetary qualities. Mix coins for easier divisibility with bars for lower per-ounce costs on larger buys. Arrange secure storage—whether at home with proper insurance or through professional facilities.

As economic uncertainties linger and faith in conventional assets erodes, bullion continues proving its worth as a dependable store of value. Its direct approach avoids the hype that sometimes surrounds collectible markets and keeps the focus on the metal itself.

For investors prepared to strengthen their portfolios, Advisor Bullion supplies the expertise and selection needed to acquire high-quality bullion efficiently. Whether building personal holdings or integrating metals into an IRA, their emphasis on transparent, investment-grade products helps secure more ounces today that support greater financial security tomorrow. In a complicated financial landscape, bullion’s clarity and reliability make it the smarter foundation for protecting what matters most.

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